Within a decade, more than 35 million
buildings may be generating their own solar panel electricity (without subsidies) at prices
lower than their utility offers, sufficient to power inverter almost 10% of the country, according to a new
report.
The report, released by the Institute for
Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), warns that utilities, regulators and policymakers
are still largely unprepared for the surge of local solar panel power inverter .
In Minnesota ,
for example, the state's largest utility expects just 20 MW of new solar panel power inverter in the next 13 years, according to its draft
filing with the Public Utility Commission.
But within 10 years, "unsubsidized solar
panel electricity will be so inexpensive
that 200 times more solar panel (over
4,000 MW) could be installed on the rooftops of Minnesota homes and businesses, providing
lower-cost electricity than from the utility," says report author John
Farrell, director of ILSR's Democratic Energy program.
Overall, a "solar panel revolution" that has, thus far, been
largely confined to states with generous sunshine (California ),
high electricity prices (New Jersey ) or both (Hawaii ) will spread
rapidly in the coming years, the ILSR says. Utilities in unexpected states,
such as Tennessee , Wisconsin
and Nebraska ,
will face enormous competition from inexpensive rooftop solar panel power inverter by 2022.
Many utilities and state regulatory
commissions are finding the value in solar panel and realizing that perceived barriers are not
as large as they had feared. Austin Energy, a Texas municipal utility, now pays a
non-subsidy premium for solar panel because it helps the utility offset expensive
peak power inverter purchases, the
report notes. In Hawaii ,
regulators have amended archaic limits to match renewable technology.
With a solar panel market driven by cheaper-than-electricity
prices, Hawaii 's
electricity system may hint at the forthcoming paradigm change, according to
the report.
One of the state's public utility
commissioners claims that utilities need to transition from being grid tie
inverter dominators to facilitators, and from being inflexible to being
flexible. They will need to switch from a reliance on utility-controlled,
large, centralized coal and nuclear power inverter plants to a nimble mix of flexible energy
sources, such as energy storage, demand response or natural gas. Already, the
state is one of 14 states with local or state-based CLEAN contract (i.e.,
feed-in tariff) policies that dramatically simplify the process of going solar
panel for residential and other electric
customers.
With the cost of solar panel falling rapidly and local solar panel challenging utility prices nationwide, ILSR's
report suggests that utilities will need to accommodate a grassroots movement
toward local, affordable energy generation.
"There will be more change in the next
10 years than utilities have faced in the last 100," says Farrell.
"And they had best get ready."
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